For the first time since August 28, Vice President Harris has reportedly assumed the lead in pollster Nate Silver’s election forecast and model.
Harris is currently in the lead in the polling aggregation, with 48.9 percent to Trump’s 46.1 percent.
Silver underscored the closeness of the contest between Trump and Harris in a post that noted the shift.
“Today marks the 3rd time so far in the election that the streams have crossed in the forecast — Harris is technically the favorite in the model for the first time since Aug. 28 — but the race is a toss-up and that will happen a lot when the forecast is so close to 50/50,” Silver wrote.
The race’s leader has changed for the third time, and it is possible that this will occur again due to the closeness of the race.
Silver’s model demonstrates that neither candidate experienced substantial support loss or gain following the presidential debate, which was widely perceived as a victory for Harris.
Harris experienced an increase in popularity on August 23, immediately following the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, at which time she was officially designated as the party’s nominee.
Silver’s model investigates the critical swing phases. Harris was identified as the dominant candidate in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, and Minnesota.
North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona are the states in which Trump is the most popular.
Silver contended in late August that Harris would be on the brink of assuming the lead if she could maintain her momentum for an additional “couple” of weeks.
[READ MORE: Teachers in Chicago Told to Give Illegals Passing Grades]
